Foreign Exchange ModelALG-FX-001 · v0.2Prototype

FX Liquidity Pressure Indicator

A composite indicator of pressure in the foreign-exchange market.

Model card

Purpose
Give treasury teams and policymakers a single, regularly updated read on FX market conditions.
Inputs
  • Exchange-rate movements
  • Market turnover
  • Central-bank intervention
  • Bid–offer spreads where available
Method
Standardized components combined into a weighted composite, with weights set from historical episodes of market stress.
Outputs
  • Composite pressure reading
  • Component breakdown
  • Historical comparison
Validation
Being tested against documented historical episodes of FX stress.
Limitations
  • Spread data is incomplete for some periods.
  • Component weights will be revisited as the history grows.

Version history

  • v0.2September 2026Weighting scheme and historical series.
  • v0.1June 2026Component selection.

Related work